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Originally Posted by mpok  Only thing that i really like is Valencia/Schalke OVER 2.5 small bet. |
why? please give reasoning behind your picks.
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Originally Posted by Jigsaw.ro Whattup, guys? First post and a combo I'll try today...
Rosenborg vs. Chelsea: 1X: Ok, let's face it: Rosenborg is the most pleasant surprise this season. And I'm not saying this because they defeated the inconstant Valencia twice, but because they know how to approach most games and they can be dangerous to any team. Plus, the context of today's game is good for them: the players are better rested than those of Chelsea; the weather suits them better; Chelsea will probably be rather relaxed, since a draw here is fine: the last game is at home against Valencia. Also, I've read thatCarvalho, Cech and Ferreira are out for Chelsea.
Celtic vs. Shakhtar: 1X: don't think I have to write much: Celtic is a strong team at home and trash on the road. Plus, they have a good chance of ending the group stage on second place... which would be a great performance for them.
Benfica vs. Milan: X2: this is tricky, considering the guests will be satisfied with a draw. Also, Benfica should think of the game against Porto as well, while Milan will have a clash with Juventus. Inzaghi won't play, but I have a feeling that, if Benfica should decide for an attacking approach, Milan will show what counter attacks can do. So, a cautious Benfica (that's what I expect) and a Milan that's satisfied with a draw... I don't see the home side taking more than one point. |
to PL jigsaw!
betfair multiples for me a bit of a lay for tonight. Round 4 of the champions league is as good as knockout stage for many now, and teams cannot afford to drop points which should see more predicability
Liverpool are in do or die mode - 8-0 vs besiktas shows their intent and they dont lose at home in europe lightly. Porto will come with 10 men behind the ball and hope for the counter attack, but are unlikley to hold liverpool back for 90 mins. Its big money losses if liverpool go out, and with the recent problems between rafa and the americans, rafa cannot afford to lose this. Whether Porto can hold on for the draw ois another matter...
Chelsea travel to norway under new management from their embarressing home draw on the opening night. Whilst chelsea have remained unbeaten, rosenborg have taken second spot with victories over valencia - however, this is not the same valencia team of a few years ago and the chelsea game came at a bad time for the londoners. Chelsea should take this match by a clear goal or two.
group c is the group of draws with weder exempt so far. a point tonight will suffice for madrid who should be able to at least get a point off lazio at home in the final game. weder have to win here to have any chance of still going through and this factor might just open up enough gaps for madrid to exploit. Draw most probable result here, other wise madrid to win.
Celtic face shaktar at home in a match that could decide 2nd place. with shaktar facing benfica at home and celtic travelling to the san siro in the final stage, this is celtics only real hope of getting the 3 points they'll most likley need. again, shaktar aare likley to come and park the bus in front of goal, and whilst celtic have a formidable home record in europe, they will still have to score.
betfair multiples are offering, imo, a generous estimated odds of 2.23 for chelsea, liverpool, madrid and celtic not to lose. I'll take that with 5 points.