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Old 28-11-2007, 00:20   #12 (permalink)
nicko
Legendary Punter
 
Join Date: 23 Oct 2007
Posts: 1,432
Default Re: Champions League - 28th November

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bossie13 View Post
Werder Bremen - Real Madrid

This will be another typical Real awaygame ,i fear. This means with less energy as possible pick somethingaway from here. 3 points ok but with 1 point we 're also happy. So also knowing that Diego is out (suspended) is out for the game, i think Werder will be short of creativity against Real.
So my bet is

Werder - Real X2 (9/10) 1.22 at Dockxbet and X (3/10) 3.5 WinUnited.com
Somehow in the years betting on the Over in every Bremen home game paid off well. I already have a 10/10 double with Roma and Werder Over, and for once I won't even place an insurance bet on it, having Roma in the pocket. The chances of seeing 3 or more goals in this game are very high, no wonder the odds are down to 1,61. I rate Werder as a better team than Lazio who managed to score 2 vs "mighty'' Real. With or without Diego Werder score at home. German teams play to win, for the fans and pride. I am not saying Werder will win, though bigger surprises happened in CL this year ( Valencia-Rosenborg to name one), but for sure we will see the hosts going forward big time. This will leave more space for Real, hence the odds for Over 2,5 so low. Instead of playing safe and place a bet on Under 2,5 goals which will put me in a win-to-win situation, I would rather consider the odds at bet365 for Over 3,5 which is 2,59. Somehow I see a very attacking first 30 mins and if any of the teams scores any scoreline is possible, but certainly not an Under, and I don't trust Real's defence much.
@ Bossie13 - Hope you won't see this as lecturing, but in your place I would consider changing your bet somehow. I mean in case of a draw you are winning both ways, the double chance and the straight bet x, with 12 units staked, which would be excellent. But in case of an away win at 1,22 for a double chance on Real, again with 12 units, altogether it is some units lost. If you are leaning toward Real, than for sure you can find better options, some AH or DNB? IF the draw is your choice then 3/10 on the draw only is good enough. Or raise it to 4/10 - 5/10, which will save you 7 or 8 units for another bet ?
Don't get me wrong, I am not being rude. I am only trying to find better option for myself by discussing other people's picks
Good luck

Last edited by nicko; 28-11-2007 at 04:20.
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