The Punters Lounge - The World's Best Betting Forum - View Single Post - Jumps Season 07/08

alexmac · 27-11-2007, 18:09

Hennessy

I like Abragante for this. Denman is, for sure, n awesome horse - but I think carrying top weight around a challenging track like Newbury may be too much for his first run out this season. He is notoriously hard to get fit, and although he pleased connections with his workout at Exeter I think he will be turned over. At 7/2 he is far too short to touch IMO. Abragante on the other hand has a number of positives. He has had a recent run out, and although he has been raised a stone for that win, he still races well below his hurdles mark (9lbs). Although it is unsure who will take the ride as Timmy Murphy is suspended. I can see Abragante taking this. Stats back this up: Top 2 in the betting have provided 9/15 winners - Abragante is the 6/1ish second favourite behind Denman.

27-11-2007, 18:09	#53 (permalink)
alexmac RFC-51 League Wins Punter Join Date: 09 May 2003 Location: Reading/Glasvegas Age: 25 Posts: 6,598	Re: Jumps Season 07/08 - Notebook & Ante Post Bets Hennessy I like Abragante for this. Denman is, for sure, n awesome horse - but I think carrying top weight around a challenging track like Newbury may be too much for his first run out this season. He is notoriously hard to get fit, and although he pleased connections with his workout at Exeter I think he will be turned over. At 7/2 he is far too short to touch IMO. Abragante on the other hand has a number of positives. He has had a recent run out, and although he has been raised a stone for that win, he still races well below his hurdles mark (9lbs). Although it is unsure who will take the ride as Timmy Murphy is suspended. I can see Abragante taking this. Stats back this up: Top 2 in the betting have provided 9/15 winners - Abragante is the 6/1ish second favourite behind Denman. __________________ We welcome the chase. It is healthy for us. We will never hide from it. Never fear, inevitably we shall have our years of failure, and when they arrive, we must reveal tolerance and sanity. Bill Struth (1875-1956)