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Originally Posted by Matthew  Well done Wumpking.................
I like the way you write up and reflect on your bets.
Good Work - Good Profit - Good Yield(%)!!!!
Did your back testing involve any international fixtures on neutral grounds? |
Thanks Matthew for the kind comments.
You raise a good point. I was originally not going to include any neutral venue based matches as rugby games generally have a strong home bias (generally considered to be 6 - 7 points for the home side), which helps the system archieve a high strike rate. However, the RWC was too good an opportunity to miss, particularly due to my passion for the game.
I did review the results for RWC 2003. Whilst I didn't have access to the required bookie odds to fully back test, I know that the vast majority of games were won by the favourite as it was 'very well behaved' in terms of outcomes as there were only 2 or 3 upsets in the whole tournament. I'm sure that the quarb approach would therefore have applied.
It will be interesting to review the whole of this RWC at the end of the tournament to see if it was profitable to include!