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Old 25-09-2007, 23:40   #46 (permalink)
Wumpking
Shrewdie Punter
 
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Join Date: 09 Jan 2007
Posts: 519
Default Re: Rugby Quarb System

Enough prices available to assess Friday's match between England and Tonga:

Match No.
Date
Tournament
Home Team
Best Odds
Av Odds
Av Odds +5%
Av Odds +7%
Selection
54
28/09/2007
RWC 2007
England
1.10
1.07
1.12
1.14
England


Current price on Betfair for England is 1.15 which is slightly above the minimum price required (taking into account commission). Therefore, bet is England - £59.00 @ 1.15 with Betfair -

I'd be extremely suprised if England failed to win this. In their only meeting todate (at RWC 1999), England beat Tonga 101 - 10. Whilst Tonga have improved since then and England have declined, the gulf in class between these two sides should really be too much for the Tongans to overcome. Indeed, based on the IRB ratings, England (79.05) should beat Tonga (72.56) at a neutral venue by around 14 points. The bookies predict it will be more, as the average handicap mark on England is -21.0 points at 1.90.
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