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Old 11-01-2007, 20:55   #33 (permalink)
jtw1
God Punter
 
Join Date: 06 Nov 2004
Age: 47
Posts: 2,963
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Default Re: Trends

CATTERICK ABANDONED
SOUTHWELL 1.40 FAV UNP


FRIDAY
-------

KELSO 1.40 2m Nov Hur

2006 Alfred The Great 4 10-12 5/2C P C Haslam Barry Keniry 106
2005 Faasel 4 10-7 4/11F N G Richards Tony Dobbin 84
2005 Diamond Mick 5 11-5 2/1 Mrs R L Elliot Miss R Davidson 106
2004 Paddy The Piper 7 11-4 3/1 L Lungo Tony Dobbin 114
2004 Encore Cadoudal 6 11-4 5/4F P Monteith Wilson Renwick 103
2000 Minivet 5 12-0 4/5F T D Easterby L Wyer 118
1999 Crazy Horse 6 11-10 1/6F L Lungo R Supple 125
1998 Deep Water 4 10-0 5/2 Micky Hammond N Horrocks 100

It usually pays to follow the market here with 7 out of 8 winners coming from the 1st two in the betting [ the exception was 3 rd fav].
4y-olds have a record worth noting with 23 runners of that vintage running over the years and 8 placed ,of which there were 3 winners, 3 2nd's and 1 3rd place.

CROCODILE DUNDEE + STORM PROSPECT are 1st and 2nd FAVS respectively in the RP's FORECAST
Personal preference is for STORM PROSPECT having an AYR win in similar ground to tomorrows.

WOLVES 4.00 1M4F Fillies H'cap

2006 Millagros (5) 6 8-13 4/1 I Semple Paul Hanagan 70
2005 Big Bertha (8) 7 9-4 7/1 John Berry George Baker 77
2004 Molly's Secret (4) 6 8-6 16/1 C G Cox Jimmy Quinn 56
2003 Belinda (1) 6 8-8 6/1 K Bell Fergus Sweeney 53

Maybe clutching at straws here with only 4 runnings so far but interestingly
it's those older horses who have struck gold with 4y-olds making up nearly half the total runners so far but to no success .
No Fav in 4 has won .
Out of the past 4 winners , 2 had a HURDLE race and one was running for the first time since OCT .
Last years victor runs again tomorrow and is one of only 3 horses aged over 4 and MILAGROS has followed a similar path with his previous race being a 2m Hurdle race at MUSSLEBURGH.


FRIDAYS FAVS TO AVOID

1.20 HUNTINGDON 0-7

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