Thread: NBA Jan 9
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Old 10-01-2007, 07:39   #5 (permalink)
expert
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Default Re: NBA Jan 9

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Originally Posted by expert View Post
Atlanta Hawks @ Indiana Pacers
Atlanta Hawks +8 @ 1.92
Will be much shorter in this one.
Main reasons for this bet are two:
1st and the most important one is the fact that Pacers will be missing their top player Jermaine Oneal, and just probable play of Jamaal Tinsley with Tyron Lue back in the lineup for the Hawks who averages 14.7 pts this year - and most important, Hawks are 1-6-1 ATS withouth him.
2nd reason - much better performances of the Hawks team, they beat Clippers last time out with 12 pts and they really improved their FG in last two. Against Raptors they were shooting nearly 50% FG, and in their win against Clips 43% FG - they were rarely over 40% in their cold streak.

Seems that return to form of their star Joe Johnson lifted the whole team.
Also some trends (they dont mean much to me in todays play)
Hawks are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Indiana.
Hawks are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
Underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings

I agree that Indiana are better team, but without Oneil and questionable (probably not 100% fit) Tinsley the 8 point spread in Hawks favour looks very good to me.
Unfortunately, those two decided to play afterall, and Johnson was crap, so the final margin for Pacers was really deserved....Knew it instantly as the line begin to move, few minutes before the start of the match.
Anyway, the Pistons match was never really in danger, only Igoudala was no match for Detroit team.
1/1 on the night and a slight loss in the end.
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