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jtw1 · 09-01-2007, 22:46

WEDS
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LINGFIELD 1:30

The last 10 runnings of this Handicap race have seen only 1 clear Fav and 1 jt Fav win, although the winning odds have ranged from Fav up to 10/1 so we're looking for something in single figures.
Age wise its interesting to note that out of 33 4y-olds to have ran over the years only 1 has been succesful.
So it's worth noting that out of the first 6 in the RP betting f'cast [those under 10/1] only 2 are not 4y-olds.
MISTRAL SKY + WHO'S WINNING are those two and last time out the met in a similar contest won by MISTRAL SKY with WHO'S WINNING only a Hd + Nk back in 3rd.
The winner was getting 4lb from WHO'S WINNING that day but that has not deterred WHO'S WINNING taking him on again ,this time giving away 7lb.

WHO'S WINNING gets the nod here as AGE , ODDS and the fact that the trainer is willing to take on a horse who beat him and is theoretically worse off with MISTRAL SKY are in his favour.

LINGFIELD 3.30 - Just one thing to take into consideration here and thats G . MOORE'S record in this event .
Since last year his record is -
3rd @ 50/1,
1st @ 7/1 ,
1st @ 6/1 ,
5th @ 11/2 [reported that the horse lost his action and RP noted it was probobly a better run than it looked on paper by the horse] ,
No entry ,
Tailed off ,
1st @ 7/2

09-01-2007, 22:46	#30 (permalink)
jtw1 God Punter Join Date: 06 Nov 2004 Age: 47 Posts: 2,963 Awards Showcase Total Awards: 1	Re: Trends WEDS ----- LINGFIELD 1:30 The last 10 runnings of this Handicap race have seen only 1 clear Fav and 1 jt Fav win, although the winning odds have ranged from Fav up to 10/1 so we're looking for something in single figures. Age wise its interesting to note that out of 33 4y-olds to have ran over the years only 1 has been succesful. So it's worth noting that out of the first 6 in the RP betting f'cast [those under 10/1] only 2 are not 4y-olds. MISTRAL SKY + WHO'S WINNING are those two and last time out the met in a similar contest won by MISTRAL SKY with WHO'S WINNING only a Hd + Nk back in 3rd. The winner was getting 4lb from WHO'S WINNING that day but that has not deterred WHO'S WINNING taking him on again ,this time giving away 7lb. WHO'S WINNING gets the nod here as AGE , ODDS and the fact that the trainer is willing to take on a horse who beat him and is theoretically worse off with MISTRAL SKY are in his favour. LINGFIELD 3.30 - Just one thing to take into consideration here and thats G . MOORE'S record in this event . Since last year his record is - 3rd @ 50/1, 1st @ 7/1 , 1st @ 6/1 , 5th @ 11/2 [reported that the horse lost his action and RP noted it was probobly a better run than it looked on paper by the horse] , No entry , Tailed off , 1st @ 7/2