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expert · 09-01-2007, 19:35

Detroit Pistons @ Philadelphia 76ers
Detroit Pistons -2 @ 1.93
This looks to me like a big trick bet at first glance, Detroit with -2 pts against Sixers...wasnt really fond of putting the money down at first, but after a few look ups at the stats and trends didnt hesitate to long to take it.
so to the data:
Detroit won last 6 h2h against Phily and 8 out of 10. In both two games that they lost, the key man for Philly was "the Answer" who left for Denver this season. In all the losses Phily never covered the todays difference of 2 suggested points, the narrowest loss was by 5 points in 2005.
Next factor is Philly home succes, they are crap and won even more games away than at home. Ok Phily are 4-10 at home and Detroit has quite impressive record playing away wtih 10-7.
To the h2h trends:
Pistons are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
Favorite is 8-2-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings.
Only next one causes some concern as "Home team is 7-2-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings".

Dont know, maybe the line is so low because of recent slump of Pistons, as they lost 4/5, but Phily are no better with only one win more in last 5. Or maybe because Billups is stil out for the Pistons, well Webber is out for the Sixers.... IMO Pistons team posesses more quality than the mediocre team from Philadelphia who won just 9 of their 33 matches this season and the two point spread difference is just too low...would take it even up to 5 points.

09-01-2007, 19:35	#2 (permalink)
expert Legendary Punter Join Date: 21 Oct 2006 Posts: 1,965	Re: NBA Jan 9 Detroit Pistons @ Philadelphia 76ers Detroit Pistons -2 @ 1.93 This looks to me like a big trick bet at first glance, Detroit with -2 pts against Sixers...wasnt really fond of putting the money down at first, but after a few look ups at the stats and trends didnt hesitate to long to take it. so to the data: Detroit won last 6 h2h against Phily and 8 out of 10. In both two games that they lost, the key man for Philly was "the Answer" who left for Denver this season. In all the losses Phily never covered the todays difference of 2 suggested points, the narrowest loss was by 5 points in 2005. Next factor is Philly home succes, they are crap and won even more games away than at home. Ok Phily are 4-10 at home and Detroit has quite impressive record playing away wtih 10-7. To the h2h trends: Pistons are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Favorite is 8-2-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings. Only next one causes some concern as "Home team is 7-2-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings". Dont know, maybe the line is so low because of recent slump of Pistons, as they lost 4/5, but Phily are no better with only one win more in last 5. Or maybe because Billups is stil out for the Pistons, well Webber is out for the Sixers.... IMO Pistons team posesses more quality than the mediocre team from Philadelphia who won just 9 of their 33 matches this season and the two point spread difference is just too low...would take it even up to 5 points.