The Punters Lounge - The World's Best Betting Forum - View Single Post - Flush on the flop. What do you do? (New HH to discuss)

slapdash · 03-12-2006, 12:08

Given that you have 2 spades and 3 spades flop, the probability of a
particular opponent holding 2 spades is about 1 in 40. With 4 opponents in,
that means there's around a 1 in 10 chance of somebody else having a flush.

In a tournament, I don't want opponents with a high spade staying in
unless I'm getting good value for it, so I'd make a pot sized bet. I'd bet
a bit less in a cash game. With 3 spades on the board, everybody's going
to be a bit scared (unless they have the nut flush), so I'm not going to be
able to build much of a pot, and I'm happy to take the pot now.

03-12-2006, 12:08	#13 (permalink)
slapdash Junior Punter Join Date: 30 Oct 2004 Posts: 12,260 Awards Showcase Total Awards: 3	Re: Flush on the flop. What do you do? Given that you have 2 spades and 3 spades flop, the probability of a particular opponent holding 2 spades is about 1 in 40. With 4 opponents in, that means there's around a 1 in 10 chance of somebody else having a flush. In a tournament, I don't want opponents with a high spade staying in unless I'm getting good value for it, so I'd make a pot sized bet. I'd bet a bit less in a cash game. With 3 spades on the board, everybody's going to be a bit scared (unless they have the nut flush), so I'm not going to be able to build much of a pot, and I'm happy to take the pot now.