The Punters Lounge - The World's Best Betting Forum - View Single Post - LAY the Draw

thunderfoot · 20-03-2006, 11:26

I've seen it often said that LAY the Draw before the Match begins, then BACK on the first goal is a 'reasonable' trading strategy, the theory being that once the 1st goal is scored, the odds for a Draw are increased.

My 'observations' of the odds activity over the weekend don't seem to support this. For instance (I'm sure I read it right), in the Fulham v Chelsea game the Draw was about 3.50 before the game started but when Fulham scored the Odds dropped to about 2.50!!

Question is, is the 'Lay the Draw' strategy only valid on certain match's, and if so which one's?

I have a feeling that if the Away team are lower Odds than the Home team, as the Fulham v Chelsea game was, then this 'strategy' don't work!! If this is so, it would be interesting to know where the 'cross-over' point (Odds wise) is i.e. by how much the Home teams Odds have to be greater than the Away teams odds.

20-03-2006, 11:26	#1 (permalink)
thunderfoot Senior (Citizen) Punter Join Date: 01 Mar 2006 Location: West Country Posts: 310	LAY the Draw - Confused!! I've seen it often said that LAY the Draw before the Match begins, then BACK on the first goal is a 'reasonable' trading strategy, the theory being that once the 1st goal is scored, the odds for a Draw are increased. My 'observations' of the odds activity over the weekend don't seem to support this. For instance (I'm sure I read it right), in the Fulham v Chelsea game the Draw was about 3.50 before the game started but when Fulham scored the Odds dropped to about 2.50!! Question is, is the 'Lay the Draw' strategy only valid on certain match's, and if so which one's? I have a feeling that if the Away team are lower Odds than the Home team, as the Fulham v Chelsea game was, then this 'strategy' don't work!! If this is so, it would be interesting to know where the 'cross-over' point (Odds wise) is i.e. by how much the Home teams Odds have to be greater than the Away teams odds.