 Re: MLB: July 8th picks
Event Detroit - Kansas City
Selection Kansas City (-2.5) (Asian Handicap)
Strength 10/10
Date 08/07/2009
Bookmaker/Price 5Dimes @ 2.95 (Back)
Reasoning Royals are 8-2 in Greinkes last 10 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Royals are 13-4 in Greinkes last 17 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Royals are 7-3 in Greinkes last 10 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Tigers are 27-56 in their last 83 games as an underdog.
Tigers are 3-7 in their last 10 vs. a team with a losing record.
Royals are 6-1 in Greinkes last 7 starts vs. Tigers.
Over is 5-2 in Greinkes last 7 road starts vs. Tigers
Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Detroit.
Under is 22-10-1 in the last 33 meetings.
Detroit score very few runs lately. They scored 8 yesterday, but against a very poor starter Bruce Chen. Greinke did very well this season against Detroit Tigers and asked for respect. He allowed only 4 home runs in 120 innings played. Detroit are a team that gets most runs on home runs and they don't have a high reanking in the standings with most stolen bases. So I will go for Greinke to prove his value once again and keep Detroit batters frustrated. Kansas City on the other hand have good records against left-handed starters, especially in the last 10. I will pick Kansas City to win this with a handicap of -2.5 |