View Single Post
Old 04-07-2009, 18:41   #10 (permalink)
ReasonableGuy
Dedicated Punter
 
Join Date: 05 Dec 2008
Location: Romania
Age: 21
Posts: 285
Default Re: MLB: July 4th picks

Event Colorado - Arizona
Selection Arizona (-1.5) (Asian Handicap)
Strength 10/10
Date 04/07/2009
Bookmaker/Price Pinnacle Sports @ 3.80 (Back)
Reasoning Rockies are 2-9 in Cooks last 11 starts vs. Diamondbacks.
Diamondbacks are 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Colorado.
Diamondbacks are 18-7 in the last 25 meetings.
Over is 4-1 in Cooks last 5 starts vs. Diamondbacks.
Rockies are 10-28 in Cooks last 38 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Arizona beats Colorado constantly so I'll stick with them tonight too, because I believe that they are extremely underrated here. OK, maybe Colorado should be favorites when looking on the aspects of the game, but Cook didn't do too well against Arizona and he is on a 5 quality starts streak. He is not a very good starter and he permitted very few runs lately, but when he does allow more he is beatable. He has got 5 matches in this season with runs average allowed greater than 6. In some of these he's got averages of 9 or even more than 20. He is not that constant so the odds are not justified. Plus, Arizona scores many from time to time and I feel that it's about time for them. Cause they vary the very low scoring games with high scoring ones. Arizona have only one streak of games with under 6 runs scored that is longer than this one. So I wait for them to score some runs and win this one. In matches with many runs expected there is always a chance for a handicap so I'll bet on Arizona (-1.5) 3.8 at Pinnaclesports
ReasonableGuy is offline   Reply With Quote