[ReasonableGuy]

Event	Texas - Tampa Bay
Selection	TB
Strength	10/10
Date	04/07/2009
Bookmaker/Price	Pinnacle Sports @ 1.83 (Back)
Reasoning	Rays are 40-18 in their last 58 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Rays are 42-17 in their last 59 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Rangers are 3-7 in their last 10 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. Rangers are 0-4 in Hollands last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 5-2 in Rays last 7 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Under is 7-2 in Rangers last 9 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Under is 7-1 in Rangers last 8 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. I expect Texas to score few runs and Tampa way more than that. I pick Tampa because they won most of the meetings against Tampa and scored a lot of runs against them. In Texas, Texas haven't won more than 1 time 2 consecutive times against Tampa and given the circumstances I have presented in the statistics I believe that Tampa is to win here yet again. With a margin of at least 2 if you ask me, because they are facing a very poor starter with ERA 6.2 and have a good enough starter with ERA 3.93 . The score will very probably go over the total set established but I see Tampa as being the ones to score more here, because Texas recorded a lot of unders in the present circumstances in the past so they score few. And Tampa won a lot in the same circumstances as I have presented in the first lines.