[ReasonableGuy]

Event	Philadephia -NYM
Selection	under 10 runs
Strength	10/10
Date	04/07/2009
Bookmaker/Price	Pinnacle Sports @ 1.96 (Back)
Reasoning	Under is 9-4 in Moyers last 13 starts vs. Mets. Under is 8-1 in Moyers last 9 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Under is 15-6 in Mets last 21 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Under is 4-1 in Mets last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Under is 6-2 in Mets last 8 vs. National League East. If Nieve resists about 6 or 7 innings and he gives NYM a start with 1 or 2 runs conceded only as he used to do in the last 3 before the last one ) , than this match has all chances to end under. The total set is set too high and Moyers have kept NYM batters under control in the past, so he should do that today too. Phillies are not in that high scoring mood lately. Except for the last game they did normal or below that. Under 5 runs scored in 7 of the last 7 for Phillies. The same for NYM. And with Moyers record against NYM and Nieves good recent performances we should see another under tonight. Under 10 runs.