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Old 02-07-2009, 14:25   #6 (permalink)
bowles10
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Join Date: 07 Nov 2002
Location: Block NU, Loft Upper, W12
Age: 42
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Default Re: Fate of 3yo Favourites in all aged handicaps

Quote:
Originally Posted by bowles10 View Post
2.10 Race

Going for Gold is currently 2/1 fav

Handicap debut after 3 maiden runs, 1 run this season 3rd behind Hidden Brief at Newbury.

Runs off OR 71

Main opposition is Princess rainbow at 3/1 or Prelude around 3/1 also

Bet will be Going for Gold lay 2pts @ 2.84 BF
Going For Gold wins so we start with a loser. Oh well, based on last 2 years results, there will be winners & losers so we have to accept them.

There isnt a great deal of profit to be had as i have analysed the above which shows if you laid at SP:

July 07 - 12 races, 11/8, 5-2 & 3-1, to 1pt stakes would be +3.13pts profit (yield 26%)

July 08 - 15 races, 9/4, 7/4, 6/5, 9/2, to 1pt stakes would be +1.3pts profit (yield 8.6%)

will look at the filters which are currently

- 4 runs or less (in career)
- SP up to 15/2
- 5 runners or more
- all aged handicaps
- no selling races
- no class 6
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