Been thinking about this one recently when viewing some of the ridiculous prices put up by bookies when horses have little or no experience but end up as favourite against thier elders.
I have applied some filters & these are the results
July 2007 | Date | Race | Horse | SP | Position | £100 win | £50 each way |
|---|
| 2 Jul 2007 | 8:10 Windsor | RUSSIAN EPIC | 2-1 | 4/8 | -100 | -100 |
| 7 Jul 2007 | 2:35 Sandown | MUTANASEB | 9-2 | 5/17 | -200 | -200 |
| 12 Jul 2007 | 9:10 Nottingham | GONGIDAS | 11-8 | 1/7 | -62 | -114 |
| 16 Jul 2007 | 7:30 Windsor | ARABIAN TREASURE | 5-2 | 6/8 | -162 | -214 |
| 19 Jul 2007 | 5:55 Folkestone | WATER MARGIN | 10-3 | 3/10 | -262 | -230 |
| 20 Jul 2007 | 7:05 Pontefract | HYPOTENEUSE | 3-1 | 3/8 | -362 | -250 |
| 21 Jul 2007 | 3:35 Newmarket | BEE EATER | 5-2 | 1/11 | -112 | -100 |
| 27 Jul 2007 | 5:05 Ascot | FIFTY CENTS | 2-1 | 8/10 | -212 | -200 |
| 28 Jul 2007 | 2:10 York | CIRCLE OF LOVE | 15-8 | 6/8 | -312 | -300 |
| 28 Jul 2007 | 4:45 Newmarket | MARKET FORCES | 2-1 | 1/7 | -112 | -175 |
| 28 Jul 2007 | 8:40 Salisbury | VENTURA | 6-4 | 2/5 | -212 | -206 |
| 30 Jul 2007 | 8:40 Windsor | MONTJEU'S MELODY | 4-1 | 7/13 | -312 | -306 |
Totals | Bets | Wins | Win Strike Rate | Win %Return at SP | Placed (inc wins) | Place Strike Rate | Each-Way %Return at SP |
|---|
| All Selections | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 74.0% | 6 | 50.0% | 74.4% |
July 2008 Selections | Date | Race | Horse | SP | Position | £100 win | £50 each way |
|---|
| 4 Jul 2008 | 7:35 Salisbury | MISSION CONTROL | 9-4 | 4/7 | -100 | -100 |
| 4 Jul 2008 | 9:30 Haydock | MERCHANT OF DUBAI | 11-8 | 2/6 | -200 | -132 |
| 5 Jul 2008 | 2:40 Sandown | MASAALEK | 9-2 | 3/15 | -300 | -126 |
| 5 Jul 2008 | 4:40 Beverley | HERRERA | 5-2 | 4/7 | -400 | -226 |
| 5 Jul 2008 | 8:20 Nottingham | HUNTING COUNTRY | 9-4 | 1/9 | -175 | -91 |
| 10 Jul 2008 | 5:05 Folkestone | CHARLEVOIX | 11-8 | 4/7 | -275 | -191 |
| 10 Jul 2008 | 8:05 Doncaster | LAMBDA | 4-6 | 5/7 | -375 | -291 |
| 11 Jul 2008 | 4:55 Newmarket | COOL JUDGEMENT | 13-8 | 3/15 | -475 | -321 |
| 11 Jul 2008 | 7:25 Newbury | HARALD BLUETOOTH | 7-4 | 1/8 | -300 | -216 |
| 17 Jul 2008 | 8:10 Doncaster | PERSIAN SEA | 6-5 | 1/8 | -180 | -144 |
| 18 Jul 2008 | 7:05 Pontefract | FLAM | 3-1 | 5/9 | -280 | -244 |
| 19 Jul 2008 | 3:55 Newbury | HUNTING COUNTRY | 9-2 | 1/16 | 170 | 37 |
| 21 Jul 2008 | 4:30 Ayr | INXILE | 6-1 | 3/16 | 70 | 62 |
| 26 Jul 2008 | 8:40 Salisbury | TABLEAU VIVANT | 9-4 | 2/5 | -30 | 40 |
| 28 Jul 2008 | 7:40 Windsor | ORANGE PIP | 8-11 | 8/8 | -130 | -59 |
Totals | Bets | Wins | Win Strike Rate | Win %Return at SP | Placed (inc wins) | Place Strike Rate | Each-Way %Return at SP |
|---|
| All Selections | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 91.3% | 9 | 60.0% | 96.0% |
Combined totals Totals | Bets | Wins | Win Strike Rate | Win %Return at SP | Placed (inc wins) | Place Strike Rate | Each-Way %Return at SP |
|---|
| All Selections | 27 | 7 | 25.9% | 83.6% | 15 | 55.6% | 86.4% |