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Old 12-08-2008, 21:49   #675 (permalink)
jtw1
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Join Date: 06 Nov 2004
Age: 47
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Default Re: JTW1's Specialisation - Trends

Back from hols and here's a tentative selection for Wednesday -

SALISBURY 4.05 10f Listed
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9/10 were returned at 13/2 or under
6/10 were 3yo's , 4/10 were 4yo's
8/9 with a BHA rating were rated 95+

Record of 4yo's that started 13/2 or under in the past 10 seasons= 1st , 1st , 1st [2nd was 4yo @ 7/1]

A FABRE has had 7 winners from 20 runners in the UK in the past 5 seasons


There looks like being 4 that will start around 13/2 or under on betfair and those are -

IN THE LIGHT
BASQUE BEAUTY
ICON PROJECT
CAPE AMBER

BASQUE BEAUTY [3yo] is only rated 90 but is only having it's 3 career outing here so is well open to improvement.
ICON PROJECT [3yo] rated 105 , will not run if there is further rain and the forecast isn't too promising.
CAPE AMBER [3yo] rated 104 , and comes from the CHAPPEL-HYAM yard who , despite having had a couple of lower grade winners in the past couple of days are still firing well short of expectation.

IN THE LIGHT comes from the A FABRE stable , definately a stranger at this course ] and is a 4yo .
It has won twice [once on SOFT the other on GOOD] and been placed 9 times from 12 runs , so it's consistent !!
R MOORE takes the ride here so with some doubts over the youngsters and the good record of fancied 4yos + FABRE'S UK record i think it could be worth an interest.
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