14.15 - Goodwood
Tranquil Tiger EW (6.00 Win
Betfair and 2.08 to place, 3 places)
Competitive race this but I am siding with EW chance Tranquil Tiger who is the top rated horse in the race.
Been mega-consistant thi season and won teo listed races in that, as well as a decent 4th in a group 2. Was touched off just by Lion Sands LTO, but blinkered this time and may play into his hands, as has bags of ability and speed but ssometimes can't finish the job. I believe the stat for first time blinkers is not the best but could work on a horse like TT. A few dangers imo in the Lion Sands, Sixties Icon and Stotsfold. A key stat here is every race including 4 year olds has been one by one. Was tempted to bet on Lion Sands EW too at 10/1 but decided against it, hopefully won't bite me in the ass!
15.30 - Goodwood -
Regal Parade EW (22.00
Betfair Win, 5.2 place, 4 places)
Won me some money two runs ago at Ascot when I tipped up at 50/1 and going to show faith again at a big price.
Still on same mark as LTO, and been running very well this season in some big handicaps. Higher stalls a clear advantage but has been won from stall 8. Once again 4 yr olds have a good record too and with his exerience in these big fields and knack to get ahead is a big bet yet again. 7F may be the ideal trip, but has ran well at a mile and not worried about the trip.
I do like the favourite in this, and fave has a decent record here, but this is a bigger price
17.15 - Goodwood -
Clifton Dancer EW (16/1
Ladbrokes, 3 to place)
Again, competitive. Horse has really been in form winning last two and trainer is confident of a good run again. He has also been in the winners himself.
Last run was excellent, winning in listed company and the second in that race has gone on to win a class 2 race. Conditions will suit, and distance is fine. I expect a bold show at a big price, although as I said a few in with a shout, although some with questionable penalties.