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Old 30-07-2008, 11:35   #671 (permalink)
jtw1
God Punter
 
Join Date: 06 Nov 2004
Age: 47
Posts: 2,997
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Default Re: JTW1's Specialisation - Trends

Is it me or are GODOLPHIN steadily getting worse as the seasons go by ??

Anyway onto the SUSSEX STAKES at Glorious Goodwood and in summary we're looking for a Previous Grp 1 winner or a close 2nd in Grp 1 company [7/10 ].
Inthe top 4 in the betting [9/10]
Rated 115 + [10/10]
Age - 5 x3yo's , 5 x 4yo+.

Ok so out of the 7 declared runners - MAJOR CADEAUX [ No wins or close 2nd in G1 + rated 114 ] , DREAM EATER [ rated 111 ] , WINDSOR PALACE [200/1 reflects it's chance ] and WINKER WATSON [ no wins/place G1 ] are discounted straight away .

TARIQ - Rated 115 and has finished 2nd [ btn 1l] in a Group 1 but has doubts about staing with no wins over the mile [ 3/4 were over 7f the other was a 6f race]

HENRYTHENAVIGATOR - Rated 124 and with 3 Grp 1 wins all over the mile looks sure to start a very short priced Fav .

RAVENS PASS - Rated 121 and although it has not won a Grp 1 it was only btn three quarters of a length by HTN at Royal Ascot , then was reportedly a shade unlucky when 2nd in a G1 over in France LTO means that i'm nominating this one to surprise the fav .
Should be no doubts about the distance and hopefully the small field will be to it's advantage.
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