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Old 24-07-2008, 21:50   #667 (permalink)
jtw1
God Punter
 
Join Date: 06 Nov 2004
Age: 47
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Default Re: JTW1's Specialisation - Trends

Friday 3.20 Listed 8f 3yo+
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6/6 were 3yo's
6/6 carried no penalty
6/6 had only won between Cl 2 - Cl 5
5/6 were returned at 11/2 or Under
5/6 had only won once previously
5/6 were rated 93+
5/6 had been placed in Listed/Group company

Although 3yo's have won the 6 runnings there have been few older horses under 11/2 that have competed in this race .

BARSHIBA [4yo] rated 110 , has won a Listed Handicap which was one of 2 career wins. It has been 2nd in a Grp 2 , 3rd in Gp3 and 4th in a Grp 1 in it's career.

BAHAARA [4yo] rated 109 , has won a Cl2 which was one of 3 wins .
Has been 2nd in a Listed and 5th ,only btn one length in a Grp 3.

FESTIVALE [3yo] rated 101 and won a Listed Handicap LTO , which was her 2nd win .
Has been 3rd in a Grp3 and 3rd in a Listed.

SHAKER [3yo] rated 96 and has won a Cl 5 , it's only career victory.
Was placed 4th LTO only btn two and a quarter lengths in the Listed H'cap won by FESTIVALE.


SUMMARY
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I have to assume that the record of the 3yo's is genuine and with that in mind i'm putting a line though BARSHIBA + BAHAARAH for being 4 yo's.

FESTIVALE won a Listed Handicap at Royal Ascot finishing just over 2l in front of SHAKER .
However according to the Racing Post report SHAKER had ' a nightmare run' and could not find a gap when poised to make her move [ funnily enough SPENCER was on board that day , R HALVIN takes the ride here]
SHAKER gets 4lb from FESTIVALE here.
She is the only 3yo not carrying a penalty and has won only once in a Cl 5 event so it fits nearly all the criteria
And given a better run this time could come in at a nice price

Last edited by jtw1; 24-07-2008 at 21:50.
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