Today's big game is between the Sharks and the
Titans. The Sharks have only won around 5 of their last 15 games at Toyota, whilst the
Titans have only won once on the road all year, and 3 times in their history (around 15 away games). The Sharks have only had one game all year be decided by more than 13pts (A 14pt loss to the
Titans).
Last week the
Titans surged late but fell short. That day they were without Anthony Laffranchi, who returns today. Laff is their best forward and gives their team so much. Coupled with the loss of Kearney for the Sharks (Titans also have Rogers out), I think that the
Titans can get home today. However, I don't think that there will be much between the teams, which means the
Titans 1-12 @ 3.70 is outstanding value.
The other bet for that game today is Preston Campbell MOTM. Last few weeks he was 21s, and I was hoping he would be that today, as it would have been the bet of the month. Unfortunately he is only paying $11, so he's closer to the true odds. However, I can't go past him today with odds still in the double figures. He was fantastic last week, has been for the past 5 weeks, and is playing against his old club today, so will definitely be primed for a big match. Also, as mentioned earlier Kearney is out for the Sharks. Kearney is the Sharks' best broken play runner, as Campbell is for the
Titans. I think the contrast in that aspect of the game will be quite noticable today, and ultimately one of the key differences between the two teams. Prince will be pushing for QLD selection so should have a big game too, but I simply cannot go past Campbell today.
Titans 1-12 @ 3.70 Sportingbet
Preston Campbell MOTM @ 11 TAB