Quote:
Originally Posted by slapdash  I think this is a misapplication of a general principle. Certainly I'd agree that
normally when you're short-stacked in a tournament, you push or fold. But
that's because normally you'll pot-commit yourself if you make any bet, so
you may as well maximize your fold equity by going all-in.
But in this situation, you're not pot-committing yourself if you just complete
the small blind. If the big blind raises, you will presumably fold. Also, unless
you get a very good flop, you're presumably folding to any bet after the
flop. You're simply making a bet of one small blind, getting quite high odds,
that you'll hit the flop hard.
As I said, I don't think the odds I'd be getting are quite high enough that
I'd call, but I certainly don't think it's very wrong. Change the 74s to 65s
and I might well call. |
I disagree, limping degrades his stack, not by a huge amount (7%), but it does degrade. His stack of chips is his only weapon at this stage; lets call it a hammer. Every time he limps he reduces the size of it.
He needs to use this hammer to steal pots, often without being called if possible. The smaller that hammer is, the less impact it has when he slams it down on the table, if it becomes any smaller he'll no longer be able to steal pots, an all-in will attract multiple callers that will check his bet down to the river as a value prop. Poker isn't all maths, it's about fear and greed. There is a psychological tipping point when his stack stops having any intimidation value and he's very very close to it. 100 chips could tip him over in some peoples mind.
I'm not arguing for the fold as such (although I'd most likely fold), but he's got through the blinds he can afford to wait a few hands before he needs to act. A flat call is the worst possible choice for me.
Also worth keeping in mind; he must act before the blinds increase, I don't know when this is, but he can't afford to pay another set of them.
A very clear Push or Fold moment for me.
Change the 74s to 65s and I push in a heartbeat.