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BURNTUA CRISP · 16-05-2008, 08:51

The poor old Saints can't take a trick. The only time they've put a full strength team on the park, they run into the Cats in Round 4 and get flogged. This team is cursed. No matter who their personnel is, the injuries naturally follow. For this game, they've lost their best forward, best tagger and a couple of handy defenders. Fortunately for them, they face a Magpie lineup thats a shadow of the 2007 version. They'll miss Fraser, but they have a pretty full list to choose from. Collingwood have a poor recent record at the Dome and have been pumped by the Saints in their last 3 visits. The Pies have more match winners with Cloke, Didak and Medhurst swinging my tip in their favour, but I wont be betting in it.

The Tigers have had a tough draw so far and it doesn't get any easier facing the Cats tomorrow. The weather will turn nasty for this match and that wont help the Tigers one bit. They find it hard enough to hit targets when its dry. Plus the Cats have the best wet weather players in the game with Ablett, Bartel and Selwood. It's time for the Tigers to be brought back to reality and no one hands out thrashing like the Cats as the Tigers know full well. The first coach sacked betting doesn't look right without Wallace being favourite.

Port go to their favourite ground tomorrow and have a huge chance of providing the upset over the Hawks. In their previous trips to Launceston, Port have never conceded more than 12 goals in a game there and would be unbeaten at the ground if it wasn't for a famous Motlop howler. Both teams have their best player missing with Hodge and C.Cornes injured. K.Cornes has a great record over Mitchell and Port's versatility up forward will cause Hawthorn headaches. I think Port can stop Hawthorn's midfield and grab a crucial away win.

It's about time Brisbane showed the football world where they belong in the grand scheme of things. They have a top 8 list, but they aren't consistent enough to be there. A good team doesn't drop games like these, but it's hard to be confident looking at what they've produced so far. The Blues will be confident after disposing of the Eagles, but their defence is no match for Brown and Bradshaw.

The lowest crowd in years will head to Cararra to watch North vs West Coast. The Kangaroos will overpower the Eagles in the midfield and restrict the Eagles forwards to a losing score. Gibson returning is a big inclusion for North.

Adelaide have made a habit of pole-axing Melbourne in recent years and Sunday will be no different.

Essendon welcome back some of their stars against Sydney, but they'll still get smashed.

Which Freo will show up this week? The one that monstered the reigning premiers or the one that was humbled by the wooden spooner by 10 goals. I can't answer it, so I can't pick them. Their injury list isn't doing them any favours, but they'll serve it right up to the Bulldogs. Hard to go against the Dogs seeing as they've hardly put a foot wrong so far.

Players missing from best 22's.
2 - Collingwood, Hawthorn, Port Adelaide
3 - Geelong, Sydney
4 - W.Bulldogs
5 - Richmond, Carlton, Brisbane, North Melb, Adelaide
6 - St.Kilda
7 - West Coast, Fremantle
8 - Melbourne, Essendon

Interesting to note that the teams with most of their best players out occupy the bottom four spots on the table.

Predictor.
Collingwood by 16, Geelong by 40, Hawthorn by 5, Brisbane by 3, North Melb by 16, Adelaide by 56, Sydney by 44, W.Bulldogs by 20.

Best Bets.
Port Adelaide LINE (+15.5)
Western Bulldogs MARGIN (1-39)
Brisbane WIN

Good luck on the punt.

16-05-2008, 08:51	#11 (permalink)
BURNTUA CRISP Missed it by that much. Join Date: 12 Dec 2006 Location: MELBOURNE Posts: 126	Re: AFL Rd. 8...Finally!... The poor old Saints can't take a trick. The only time they've put a full strength team on the park, they run into the Cats in Round 4 and get flogged. This team is cursed. No matter who their personnel is, the injuries naturally follow. For this game, they've lost their best forward, best tagger and a couple of handy defenders. Fortunately for them, they face a Magpie lineup thats a shadow of the 2007 version. They'll miss Fraser, but they have a pretty full list to choose from. Collingwood have a poor recent record at the Dome and have been pumped by the Saints in their last 3 visits. The Pies have more match winners with Cloke, Didak and Medhurst swinging my tip in their favour, but I wont be betting in it. The Tigers have had a tough draw so far and it doesn't get any easier facing the Cats tomorrow. The weather will turn nasty for this match and that wont help the Tigers one bit. They find it hard enough to hit targets when its dry. Plus the Cats have the best wet weather players in the game with Ablett, Bartel and Selwood. It's time for the Tigers to be brought back to reality and no one hands out thrashing like the Cats as the Tigers know full well. The first coach sacked betting doesn't look right without Wallace being favourite. Port go to their favourite ground tomorrow and have a huge chance of providing the upset over the Hawks. In their previous trips to Launceston, Port have never conceded more than 12 goals in a game there and would be unbeaten at the ground if it wasn't for a famous Motlop howler. Both teams have their best player missing with Hodge and C.Cornes injured. K.Cornes has a great record over Mitchell and Port's versatility up forward will cause Hawthorn headaches. I think Port can stop Hawthorn's midfield and grab a crucial away win. It's about time Brisbane showed the football world where they belong in the grand scheme of things. They have a top 8 list, but they aren't consistent enough to be there. A good team doesn't drop games like these, but it's hard to be confident looking at what they've produced so far. The Blues will be confident after disposing of the Eagles, but their defence is no match for Brown and Bradshaw. The lowest crowd in years will head to Cararra to watch North vs West Coast. The Kangaroos will overpower the Eagles in the midfield and restrict the Eagles forwards to a losing score. Gibson returning is a big inclusion for North. Adelaide have made a habit of pole-axing Melbourne in recent years and Sunday will be no different. Essendon welcome back some of their stars against Sydney, but they'll still get smashed. Which Freo will show up this week? The one that monstered the reigning premiers or the one that was humbled by the wooden spooner by 10 goals. I can't answer it, so I can't pick them. Their injury list isn't doing them any favours, but they'll serve it right up to the Bulldogs. Hard to go against the Dogs seeing as they've hardly put a foot wrong so far. Players missing from best 22's. 2 - Collingwood, Hawthorn, Port Adelaide 3 - Geelong, Sydney 4 - W.Bulldogs 5 - Richmond, Carlton, Brisbane, North Melb, Adelaide 6 - St.Kilda 7 - West Coast, Fremantle 8 - Melbourne, Essendon Interesting to note that the teams with most of their best players out occupy the bottom four spots on the table. Predictor. Collingwood by 16, Geelong by 40, Hawthorn by 5, Brisbane by 3, North Melb by 16, Adelaide by 56, Sydney by 44, W.Bulldogs by 20. Best Bets. Port Adelaide LINE (+15.5) Western Bulldogs MARGIN (1-39) Brisbane WIN Good luck on the punt.