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Old 11-05-2008, 07:43   #9 (permalink)
maxzorn
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Join Date: 19 Mar 2006
Location: Canada
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Default Re: Italy Serie A (11 May)

Quote:
Originally Posted by paddzer View Post
Does anyone smell a rat the fact Juventus are so overpriced or am I reading to much into a league with previous ?? Waiting on them for a treble but their price seems to good to be true. Any opinions ??
win or lose it doesn't change much for Juventus, heck the traditonal fan doesn't even come to their stadium so it won't be a "thank you for staying with us, here's a final home win" appearance. On the other-hand, Catania are looking like the crash-dive I predicted weeks ago. They missed their striker Spinesi last week and he is a major doubt again.
Okay the honest truth is, Catania entered that relegation zone and their next opponents Roma on match-day 38 doesn't get any better especially if Rome win today and Inter doesn't.
This match could go any-which-way so I perfer to stay away.
On to other considerations,
Only one or perhaps two matches of little meaning,
Genoa vs. Lazio and Palermo vs. Sampdoria
Lazio played mid-week in the Coppa match against Inter. They have 3 things going against them, fatgue, a poor away record and relative safety sitting 13th on 40 points.
Genoa FT win

Sampdoria still have something to play for but need help from both Fiorentina and Udinese which will not arrive. Also, they don't draw much on the road (only twice all season). Last week they were caught out by three late second half goals by Roma after controlling much of the earlier play with Cassano as a constant thread.
like the odds on the home side over the visitors
Palermo FT win

Finally, Reggina one of my earlier relegation candidates, have momentum going their way and are playing with true belief. The southerners won their first away match of the season last week against Catania.
People forget (including me 3 weeks ago) this was a club starting last season in Serie A 2006-07 with a large points deduction (eleven) and yet managed to avoid relegation. Today they play Empoli who are second from bottom, a team not having similar good luck.
I Like the home advantage and current form of Reggina over the struggling visitors, the past head-to-head is pretty much even so current form means alot and Reggina has lots, not losing at home in their last six games, starting on Feb23th with a win over Juventus.
Reggina FT win

Last edited by maxzorn; 11-05-2008 at 07:44.
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