I think it was Mark Coton who wrote about the Gambling Gods & tempting fate, the sort thing like when your horse is ten lengths clear heading to the final fence & the thought pops into your head "it's only got to jump this" & the beast crumples on landing on the other side.
Now I know thats just a load of rubbish but I could almost see what was coming yesterday, did I not say that either they go too fast to try to get to the front or lay too far back. After the race Jim McGrath said that Dettori was always niggling along, not to my eyes. He never asked the horse for any effort until turning into the straight & for me was too far back. If the other horse had not got in his way he would have probably got second, as it is Tom Quealy's got a ban for careless riding & Dettori shouldn't have even been there.
I must not back at Chester
Actual bets Wins/Runs 3/6 Stakes 235pts Returns 615pts Profit/Loss +380pts
Both races went to horses not shortlisted.
Lingfield Derby Trial
11.5f Group3
Allessandro Volta & Campanologist have 4 stars
By Command has 3 stars
Alan Devonshire has 2 stars
When I assessd this race Curtain Call was in the field but even then it looked a race to swerve. Now we have four on the shortlist from five runners, it happens with these small fields & the race is only included here because it's a qualifying race.
Chartwell Fillies Stakes.
7f Group3
3yo+
Sabana Perdida & Verba both have 4 stars.
Sabana Perdida has form at a higher level than this including a good third in the Group2 Windsor Forest at Royal Ascot last year. Took a Group3 at Longchamp after which was her last start. The key to her seems to be the ground & she should love the fast going today. The stable is in good form & have a fine record when sending them over here.
Verba is a 3yo with two minor stakes wins & a 4l third at this level with all three starts on soft/heavy. Made all on return over 6f at Maisons-Laffitte so looks to have trained on but was held up & pulled hard on her other two starts, may go off too fast here & will she handle the going?
Of the rest.
The best of ours looks to be Salsa Steps, both wins came on fast ground & at 6f in a maiden & FTO this season in a minor Windsor handicap where she was a good winner. This is a big leap in class here & she was never dangerous on her try at Listed class last season but that was on soft ground.
The more experienced Sabana Perdida can take another prize back to France.
Bet. Sabana Perdida 50pts @ 5/2 Coral.
Rio.