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Old 07-05-2008, 21:26   #8 (permalink)
blackcrow
Legendary Punter
 
Join Date: 08 Nov 2006
Location: Sydney
Posts: 1,883
Default Re: MLB: May 7th picks

Detroit - Boston under 8.5
Galarraga is the only Tigers starter with an ERA under 4.00. He took his first career loss in his last start, allowing four runs in six innings at Minnesota Friday. But he's still allowed just five earned runs and 13 hits in 24 innings. Detroit has scored just 11 total runs in its last five games, and was shut out for the fifth time this season Tuesday.

Buchholz only lasted 5 1-3 innings Friday against the Rays, but he earned the win, allowing just one run on five hits and four walks. He's given up just three runs and struck out 21 in 19 1-3 innings in his last three starts. Boston have allowed three or fewer runs in nine of their last 10 games, with the lone exception coming in a 12-4 win over Tampa Bay on Saturday

Under is 7-3-1 in Red Sox last 11 overall.
Under is 4-0-1 in Red Sox last 5 road games.
Under is 7-2-1 in Red Sox last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 56-27-6 in Red Sox last 89 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 5-0-1 in Red Sox last 6 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 18-8 in Red Sox last 26 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

Under is 9-3-2 in the last 14 meetings

NYY - Cleveland under 7.5
Yankees are 7-0 in Wang starts this season (3-0, 0.79 ERA in his last three games).
Lee is 5-0, with a 1.19 ERA in five starts this season.

Under is 23-9-1 in Yankees last 33 overall.
Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 home games.
Under is 19-7-2 in Yankees last 28 games as a favorite.
Under is 9-3-1 in Yankees last 13 games as a home favorite.
Under is 6-1-1 in Yankees last 8 games vs. a left-handed starter.

Under is 5-2 in Wangs last 7 starts overall.

Under is 4-0 in Indians last 4 overall.
Under is 5-2 in Indians last 7 road games.
Under is 4-0 in Indians last 4 games as an underdog.
Under is 7-1 in Indians last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 10-2-2 in Indians last 14 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

Under is 4-1 in Lees last 5 starts overall.
Under is 5-2-1 in Lees last 8 road starts.

Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
Under is 4-1-1 in Wangs last 6 starts vs. Indians.

Toronto - Tampa Bay under 8.5
Marcum is 1-1 with a 1.32 ERA in his last two starts. He gave up two hits while striking out nine in 6 2-3 innings as Toronto beat the Chicago White Sox 2-0 on Friday night. Marcum has not allowed a run in one start and one relief appearance spanning 8 1-3 innings against the Rays, defeating them in a start last May 13.

Garza won for the first time in four starts Thursday, giving up two runs and three hits in six innings as Tampa Bay beat Baltimore 4-2.

Under is 19-7 in Blue Jays last 26 overall.
Under is 7-1 in Blue Jays last 8 home games.
Under is 39-18-3 in Blue Jays last 60 games as a favorite.
Under is 5-1 in Blue Jays last 6 games as a home favorite.
Under is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 5-1 in Blue Jays last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter.

Under is 4-1 in Marcums last 5 starts overall.
Under is 4-1 in Marcums last 5 starts as a favorite.

Under is 12-3 in the last 15 meetings.
Under is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings in Toronto.

Houston -2.5
Oswalt is 3-0 with a 3.46 ERA in his last four outings. He's 3-1 with a 2.45 ERA in eight career games against the Washington franchise.
Perez is 0-4 with a 12.91 ERA in six career games against the Astros.

Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
Astros are 7-0 in their last 7 home games.
Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite.
Astros are 51-24 in their last 75 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Astros are 17-5 in their last 22 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Astros are 45-15 in Oswalts last 60 home starts.
Astros are 45-15 in Oswalts last 60 starts as a home favorite.
Astros are 47-15 in Oswalts last 62 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Nationals are 2-11 in their last 13 road games.
Nationals are 2-10 in their last 12 games as a road underdog.
Nationals are 4-13 in their last 17 games vs. a right-handed starter.
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