It's a pretty good bet that if you lay every odds on shot in a season, at the end you will be in front. What you have to avoid is a long run of winners.
It was said many years ago that if you were a 'high roller' and you only back horses with odds of worse than 1/2, you would win as a backer.
Logically, if you lay those between 8/15 (1.53) and 10/11 (1.91) you will be a winner.
Up to the end of racing today, there have been 50 odds on favourites this flat season. 7 of those were worse than 1/2 (1.5) leaving 43 that weren't.
Here they are, with what you would get if you layed every one to lose you £100.
In the following posts there will be the same races, but sorted by class of race, distance of race, and number of runners.
Filtering stops too many winners. I was going to do this at the end of the season, but with the amount of racing this year I'd be here until Xmas sorting it all out.
Obviously it's early days in the racing year, but patterns are already forming.
I hope all the figures are right on the first sheet, because they've all been copied and pasted to the other sheets.
The prices shown are the Starting Prices. If you aim to lay every horse at a lower price than it's S.P. in running, this will increase the profit margin.
Even when they shorten up a lot in running, and appear to going easier than their rivals, that should be the time to lay, as you are laying at less than S.P.
If none of this makes any sense, don't be surprised as I'm knackered.
