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Old 04-05-2008, 12:21   #40 (permalink)
Gingertipster
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Join Date: 02 Jul 2007
Location: Near Andover Hampshire
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Default Re: Gingers (Flat) Winners 08

1000 Guineas

Judging by Francesca d'Gorgio's run in the Cherry Hinton she likes to be on her own. A front runner (at sprint distances) drawn 1. I feel she is likely to make a B-line for the stand rail, drawing the pack over. Seems temperamental and probably won't stay.

Infallible was impressive in the Nell Gwyn but beat very little there. Still, “could be anything” and has an obvious chance. Inexperienced and has only had one crack with the whip. Although by sprinter Pivotal (who's progeny tend to stay further than he did), out of a sprinter, Infallible settles well and should stay a mile.

Kitty Matcham is impeccably bred (should get further). Won the Rockfel but the form has not worked out that well. 4th in a maiden on good-firm, has improved on good and good-soft since, whether this is significant remains to be seen. Apparently stable first string on jockey bookings, I disagree.

Lady Deuville was not far behind Muthabara at Newbury but raced on the favoured side there. Should stay the trip (sire sprinter but from a maternal staying line) unlikely to be good enough.

Laureldean Gale's half length defeat by Proviso (when trained by Chapple-Hym.is some of the best form around. Would've been one of the favourites on that performance. However, got above herself before the Boussac. That is a worry here too and unlike Ibn Khaldun the stable don't seem keen on her chances. By sprinter-miler Grand Slam and is a half sister to a Musidora winner so should stay and acts well on a firm surface.

Lush Lashes won a sales race in Ireland on her only run last term (7f good-firm). Ran poorly when stable was out of form on heavy ground, pulling hard. If she settles and is better on today's surface should not be discounted. But by Galileo from the family of Arc winner Saumarez, bred to come in to her own over further. Inexperienced.

Max One Two Three is from a stable going places but I saw her at Salisbury last season and will be amazed if she stays the trip. Has potential to improve.

Nahoodh I saw run poorly in the Fred Darling. Looked poor in her coat , edgy in the paddock and stable in poor form at the time (now much better). Is a nice type, big sort with a good action, probably unsuited by the soft ground at Newbury too. Won the Lowther at 6f last term, is bred to get the trip but her temperament may not allow her to do so.

Natagora is by a Japanese sprinter-miler (grand sire Sunday Silence is a fair influence of stamina). Natagora's dam was best over middle distances, who was by miler Linamix. So on breeding the French horse should improve over a mile. On reappearance she settled very well tracking the pace at seven furlongs on heavy ground. Although showing plenty of speed at two I feel she is far more likely to stay a mile than not. Won the Chievely Park from Fleeting Spirit, clear of the rest. Has the best form in this race but most of the value has gone.

Royal Confidence was placed in the Free Handicap against the colts, behind Stimulation. Slowly run 7f, it played to her strengths. Both sire and dam are from sprinting families, unlikely to stay a mile.

Saoirse Abu beat Henrythenavigator and Listen at two but both O'Brien horses had valid excuses and is probably not as good as those performances suggest. Exposed and very disappointing on reappearance and may not have trained on. Raced only on with ease in the ground, stays a mile.

Savethisdanceforme was 5 lengths clear of the third when second on reappearance. Had gone clear before weakening in the final furlong (as if the race was needed). Stable was out of form at the time, now much better. Very progressive at two, 4th in the Boussac before impressive 9 length winner of a listed race (on good-soft) final start. Deserted by Murtagh but has Ryan Moore as a deputy. I believe Johnny may have made the wrong choice if Savethisdanceforme acts on the ground (unraced on firm surface) and has the speed to lay up early, stays a mile well. Worth taking a chance at the price.

Spacious is a really nice type, taking after her sire Nayef. Has had only two runs winning the May Hill with an impressive turn of foot. Inexperience could be a problem, particularly with Fanshawe's appalling record with first time out three year olds. Held up and stays a mile well. If it is a slowly run race might struggle.

Spinning Lucy ran in the Nell Gwyn as if she struggles to stay 7f let alone a mile. Weakened after being up with the pace. Unless she can set a slow pace is very unlikely to get home. Not that she looks good enough.

Last edited by Gingertipster; 04-05-2008 at 12:22.
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