At these odds backing Bayern looks insane to me. It is at home that they made many punters lose in this Cup, except a convincing win vs the Greeks late in the groups, I do not remember a good game from them in UEFA at Allianz. The DFB Pokal was just another prove that betting on Bayern -1 EH or higher is far too risky. In a game they almost fully controlled simply couldn't score a second, which would have killed Dortmund. And IMO Dortmund were far from being decent rival. Vs Getafe in the first 20 mins it could have been 5-0 to Bayern, then little by little Getave levelled the game and Bayern were lucky with that draw. Not to mentioned the second leg!!! Take Franck Ribbery out and it is Zenith who should be considered favourites. Not to mention van Bommel who steps on the pitch with a yellow card, Schweinsteiger who is miles away from last season, Ze Roberto who only shines rarely now, etc, etc...The problem with Bayern is the Manager imo, he has the names and the class in the team, but he is far too old-fashioned for the modern game. The fact is Bayern look better away except in Cottbus
, but somehow they lose control later in the game, the Getafe game an exception.
Saw Zenith 3 times in the Cup and a couple of times in their League, none of the games was enough to make up my mind how good they are. Still, the ease with which they thrashed Leverkusen was frightening, every counter was a goal opportunity! Great pace, one-touch play, massive confidence, skillful enough...
I am looking at backing Zenith somehow on +1,25 or 1,5, depends on odds, this season had plenty of examples that names don't count that much anymore - Inter, Valencia, not to mention domestic leagues where great teams are fighting relegation. It is easy to follow Bayern, but if there is any football logic and if stats and current displays matter, Zenith can get away with a good result here. It is another story if they will get through to the Final....