Quote:
Originally Posted by Marlin  Hi whoneedsrio,
This looks interesting. I’ve had an on and off interest in VDW’s writings for quite a while now. From what I recall VDW wrote that it does not always follow that a good thing shows from the preliminary investigation, which tends to suggest that sometimes they do. It will be interesting to see if your system can find them.
Have you found your earnings rating to be more reliable than VDW’s ability rating then or are you still experimenting with it? Either way, best of luck with this. |
Marlin,
I always considered this as a way to narrow the field & arrive at a shortlist .
The VDW comment that the good thing may not be shown from the preliminary investigation was the sort of thing that wound up the non-believers who questioned the ways that winners were arrived at after the event.
With regard to the earnings rating I prefer the total win & place prize money divided by total races to the prize money from wins alone as a win in a valuable but soft race can skew the rating.
ardman,
I'm a backer not a layer.
It's my intention to rate as many of these races as I can & I will be betting. As in my season threads in ATR bets will show prices taken & stakes in points & the running totals. The race today looked one to swerve as stated in my previous post & if there is no stake then I have not had a bet.
Infallible which had one star & was not in the shortlist won the Nell Gwyn, the recent record of winners from this race, Speciosa apart, makes poor reading with regard to the 1000 Guineas.
I've decided to keep a running total of races rated & shortlisted winners on a Monthly basis & separate from any bets.
There are two Group 3's tomorrow at Newmarket & I will post up any shortlisted horses in the morning.
Thanks to you both & WFTE & Welshman for your interest & good wishes.
Rio.