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Old 15-03-2008, 09:58   #205 (permalink)
AK1979
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Join Date: 07 May 2001
Location: Highbury & Islington
Age: 29
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Default Re: Jumps Season 07/08 - Notebook & Ante Post Bets

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I thought Comply or Die's victory today gave a huge boost to the form of Cloudy Lane, and therefore I have backed him for the Grand national. Coral still go 12/1 Cloudy Lane, where some firms are as low as 8/1!!!

I'm slightly concerned about this ones stamina - in both of his races over 3m 2f + he hasnt really shown up.

I'm preferring Parsons Legacy through his narrow defeat to Cloudy Lane at Cheltenham. He subsequently went on to finish 3rd in last years Scottish National, beaten only 1/1/2 lengths. Has some top class form in the book, versatile re: ground and has a great racing weight. Looks big at 32.0 bearing in mind Cloudy Lanes price.

Parsons Legacy @ 32.0 betfair
As far as the National is concerned, nothing really caught my eye at Cheltenham this week, although Patsy Hall has been backed after a good run.

I've already backed Parsons Legacy and trainer Philip Hobbs was featured in "Trainer File" in the RFO this week lads and here's his quote:

"He was going to run in the Kim Muir again, a race in which he has been placed twice, including last season when he was an unlucky second. However, the Grand National is the main plan now and he would go there with a sound chance. He has some very solid form to his namehaving finished 3rd in the Scottish National last year and he has run 2 sound races this season at Cheltenham finishing 5th and 4th."[/i


High Chimes win in the Kim Muir boosts his form too through a line with Cloudy Lane.

I still cant get my head around his price of 33/1. I would price him between 14/1 and 20/1 personally.

My other ante post selection Mon Mome finished a respectable 6th in the William Hill Chase where he was staying on. Having backed him at prices between 140.0-160.0, I have now laid him off at 42.0 to get my stake back for a free bet.


Grand National Bets:

Parsons Legacy 32.0 betfair
Parsons Legacy 33/1 ew VC Bet

Mon Mome backed at 150.0, 160.0 and 170.0 betfair
Mon Mome - laid at 42.0 for free bet

Rambling Minster 85.0 betfair - NON/RUNNER
Beef or Salmon @ 160.0 betfair - NON/RUNNER
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