23rd June 2012

BMW International Open Betting: Marcus Fraser can take advantage of nervy leaders to come through and win in Cologne

The final round of the BMW International Open on Sunday is sure to be a nervy affair for many of those at the top of the leaderboard as they go in search of a first European Tour win. Danny Willett will be the man under the most pressure as it is he who takes a one shot lead into the final 18 holes, a lead which he is 13/5 with Coral to cement over the final day.

He’s far from out on his own though. In fact the leaderboard behind him is quite well bunched and there are one or two names lying just off the pace, close enough to put some pressure on the Englishman on Sunday. Chris Wood and Joel Sjoholm are the closest challengers to Willett and they both go in search of their first European Tour win of their careers too so there’s very much a sitting duck feel to the leaders.

Thomas Bjorn and Henrik Stenson lie five shots off the lead on seven under and a good round from either of those will have the leaders sweating especially as they will be a few holes ahead of them and can get in the clubhouse and set a decent target. I just feel they are a shot or maybe two too far back. Marcel Siem will be in receipt of all the local support in the final round but I prefer someone else on Sunday.

The player I like is the Australian Marcus Fraser. He begins the final round two shots off the lead but he knows how to get the job done. He hasn’t won this season yet but he’s been close on three occasions this year prior to this week. So far this week he’s shot a 64 and a 68 and were it not for a poor round on Friday he would probably be a shot or two clear of the field now. Those two mid 60’s rounds shows he can attack the golf course and make a score should he need to and at 10/1 I think he’s good value on a final day where those above him could easily falter.

Back M.Fraser to win BMW International Open (e/w) for a 1/10 stake at 11.00 with Ladbrokes (1/4 1-3)

» £50 Free Bet at Ladbrokes